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The following archive was created by hippie-mail 7.98617-22 on Sat Apr 10 1999 - 01:15:23
HyperReal-Anon (nobody@sind.hyperreal.art.pl)
29 Oct 1998 19:45:12 -0000
> What is the probability that a comet or asteroid similar in size to
> that which caused the extinction of the dinosaurs will hit in the next
> few months?
a) 0.0000000000014581 +/- 2 in the last digit
neglecting the probability that dinosaurs are not extinct
b) 0.000000004576 +/- 1 in the last digit
allowing for the probability that dinosaurs are not extinct
Both answers assume that a 'few' is between 4 and 9. Working is
an exercise for the reader, as is refuting the false answers in the
FAQ of alt.astro.dumb.questions.
The following archive was created by hippie-mail 7.98617-22 on Sat Apr 10 1999 - 01:15:23